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Sportsbook odds vs Pick6 multipliers

Pick any NFL game. See implied probability, hold and no-vig on the sportsbook side, and the multiplier ladder on the Pick6 side, with the API call for each.

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As of Nov 4, 22:40 UTCChecking age28 games, 400 props

Sportsbook prices

Game scheduled

Starts Nov 9, 01:20 UTC

Moneyline
SideLineAmericanDecimalImpliedNo-vig
Tampa Bay BuccaneersNone+2403.40029.41%28.20%
Chicago BearsNone-2981.33674.87%71.80%
Hold 4.29%
Spread
SideLineAmericanDecimalImpliedNo-vig
Tampa Bay Buccaneers6-1081.92651.92%49.57%
Chicago Bears-6-1121.89352.83%50.43%
Hold 4.75%
Total
SideLineAmericanDecimalImpliedNo-vig
Over47.5-1051.95251.22%48.92%
Under47.5-1151.87053.49%51.08%
Hold 4.71%
GET/api/v1/odds?sport=NFL&limit=25

Pick6 multipliers

Same game

TB @ CHI

Line
251.5
More
1x
Less
1x
Multiplier by target
  1. 0.5x169.5
  2. 0.5x179.5
  3. 0.6x189.5
  4. 0.6x199.5
  5. 0.6x209.5
  6. 0.7x219.5
  7. 0.7x229.5
  8. 0.8x239.5
  9. 0.9x249.5
  10. 0.9x251.5
  11. 1x259.5
  12. 1.1x269.5
  13. 1.3x279.5
  14. 1.5x289.5
Alternate targets
TargetSideMultiplierChange per unit
169.5More0.5xFirst rung
179.5More0.5x0.000x
189.5More0.6x+0.010x
199.5More0.6x0.000x
209.5More0.6x0.000x
219.5More0.7x+0.010x
229.5More0.7x0.000x
239.5More0.8x+0.010x
249.5More0.9x+0.010x
251.5More0.9x0.000x
259.5More1x+0.012x
269.5More1.1x+0.010x
279.5More1.3x+0.020x
289.5More1.5x+0.020x
First 14 of 20 targets.
GET/api/v1/pick6/projections?sport=NFL&pickable_id=4768847&limit=25

The formulas, with this selection

Implied probability
Negative price: |A| / (|A| + 100). Positive price: 100 / (A + 100).+240 gives 29.41%
Decimal price
Negative price: 1 + 100 / |A|. Positive price: 1 + A / 100.
Hold and no-vig
Hold is the sum of each side's implied probability, minus 1. No-vig is one side's implied probability divided by that sum.
Change per unit
(m2 - m1) / (t2 - t1), between neighbouring targets on one side.At target 179.5: 0.000x per unit

We do not convert a multiplier into a probability or a price. A standings multiplier is not decimal odds, a probability or an entry payout, so a number like 1 / m would mean nothing here. Compare the shape of a ladder, not its values, against sportsbook prices.

Build this in your own app

Both panels come from two plain requests. The arithmetic is above, so you can reproduce every figure from the response.

Free plan, 500 requests a month, no card

The same data over the API
curl 'https://draftkingsapi.com/api/v1/odds?sport=NFL&limit=25' \
  -H "Authorization: Bearer $DRAFTKINGS_API_KEY"

Independent service operated by DD Inc., not affiliated with or endorsed by DraftKings. No wagering: this service does not place, recommend or settle entries or bets. Every value is a stored observation with its capture time. No row is a live offer or a recommendation.